It is unlikely that Iran would accept an EU embargo without retaliation, says Paul Stevens in this new paper which warns that an oil embargo alone cannot succeed in pressuring Iran. Read
This new paper by Charles Emmerson and Paul Stevens, explores the vulnerability of choke points to the volatility of energy prices. Read
While broad narratives of 'land-grabbing' in the Horn of Africa are a misleading oversimplification, investment in land is not conflict-neutral, says this new paper. Read
How is the region's domestic energy consumption affecting global energy supplies, and what are the implications of the Arab spring for the future of supplies? Details.
The frequency of high-impact, low-probability events signals the beginning of a crisis trend. But governments and businesses are insufficiently prepared to manage, says this report. Read
Using satellite imagery, this paper looks at the effects of piracy on the Somali economy. It establishes which groups benefit, and finds that positive economic impacts are widely spread. Read.
For the Kremlin, maintaining influence over Ukraine is more than a foreign policy priority, it is an 'existential imperative', says this new paper. Read.
Featured article: Strategy and contingency by Hew Strachan
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