Chatham House: Independent thinking on international affairs

European Defence and Security 2012

Commitments, Capabilities and Cash
23-24 January 2012

DAY ONE
Monday 23 January 2012

Setting the Scene

  • What is the nature and distribution of European power?
  • What tensions need to be resolved between the US and Europe?

Chair Caroline Wyatt
Defence Correspondent
BBC News

09.30    Opening Remarks from the Chair

Opening Keynote Address
Gerald Howarth MP (on the record)
Minister for International Security Strategy
Ministry of Defence, UK

Session One
Commitments 

  • What are the current and possible future commitments facing Europe internally and internationally? Which areas should be of most concern to European policy-makers and politicians?
  • Finding the balance between national, bilateral and multilateral commitments – for what cause and to what end?
  • Organising collaborative commitments – the role of Europe in international organisations
  • Learning lessons from recent European experiences.
Chair Caroline Wyatt
Defence Correspondent
BBC News

10.10       
Dr Paul Cornish
Professor of International Security
University of Bath

Ivo Daalder
US Ambassador to NATO
United States Mission to NATO

Questions and discussion

11.30 Refreshments

Session Two
Realities and Threats

  • Prioritising threats and challenges: non-state actors and groups, non-conventional terrorism, failing and failed states, piracy, organized crime, cyber-crime
  • Balancing commitments and planning for the future
  • State actors and Europe – what threat and what challenge, if any, do countries such as Russia and Iran pose to European security and defence?
  • What challenges are presented by internal actors following the Eurozone crisis?
  • To what extent should Europe share US concerns about China and security in the West Pacific and in what way can or should Europe contribute to management of such issues?
Chair Jane Cannon
Partner
Ernst & Young LLP

12.00 Admiral James G Stavridis
Supreme Allied Commander Europe
NATO

Rob Wainwright
Director
Europol

Questions and discussion

13.05    Lunch

Session Three
Europe’s Capabilities

  • What are Europe’s ‘stand alone’ capabilities?
  • How is Europe planning to manage the continuing requirements of defence and security infrastructure and human capital?
  • What is the future for nuclear deterrence – and Europe’s contribution to it - as a strategy and a policy tool?
  • What capabilities does it need and what are states prepared to offer?

Chair Professor Paul Cornish

14.05 Claude-France Arnould
Chief Executive
European Defence Agency (EDA)

Dr Theo Farrell
Professor of War in the Modern World, Department of War Studies
King's College London

Questions and discussion

15.35 Refreshments 

Session Four
Grand Strategy

  • In light of current changes and challenges, what are Europe’s response options?
  • Is Europe capable of deterring current and future threats to its security?
  • What are the future criteria for successful deterrence of real and potential adversaries
  • How viable is a development of the nuclear option for European allies? 
  • Is Europe willing to finance the most appropriate options?
  • How achievable is the prospect of a collective European force with expeditionary capability?

Chair Carina O’Reilly
Editor and Analyst, Political and Security Risk, Europe
IHS Jane’s

Speakers
16.05 Dr Anand Menon
Professor of West European Politics, European Research Institute
University of Birmingham

Rob de Wijk
Director
The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

Professor Sten Rynning
Department of Political Science and Public Management
University of Southern Denmark

Questions and discussion

17.30    End of Day One and reception

DAY TWO
Tuesday 24 January 2012

Session Five
Cash: Making it Happen

  • How is Europe planning to finance its security and defence needs?
  • Managing political, strategic and commercial competitive issues – national vs supra national policies
  • Can more affordable responses be found for a pan-European approach to security challenges?
  • Can a pan-European approach to counter terrorism or cyber security succed?
  • How likely is an integrated European defence and security R&D?  What are the pitfalls and benefits of more integrated R&D?
  • How likely is integrated defence procurement? What savings might it bring and how can the inherent political and economic challenges be overcome for national governments and their domestic defence and security industries?

Chair James Blitz
Defence and Diplomatic Editor
Financial Times

Speakers
09.30 The Rt Hon James Arbuthnot MP
Chair
Defence Select Committee, UK

General Jean-Pierre Devaux
Director for Strategy, Direction Générale de l’Armement (DGA)
Ministry of Defence, France

Victor Chavez
Chief Executive
Thales UK

Graham Muir
Head, Policy & Planning Unit
European Defence Agency   
       
Questions and discussion

11.00 Refreshments

Session Six
Looking Forward: Implementation challenges and potential

  • What questions does the Eurozone crisis pose for European security and defence?
  • How can lessons learnt be applied in the future?
  • Is it possible to overcome bureaucratic procedures? And is there a clear European leadership to drive forward change?
  • Winning political will: can a common rationale be found for European security and defence? By whom and with what message?
  • Can the transatlantic bargain be sustained?

11.30  Moderator and Overview   
Sir Kevin Tebbit KCB CMG
Chairman
Finmeccanica UK

11.45 Moderated panel discussion


12.45 End of conference and lunch


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