'An opening up of the party to enable challenges within the leadership would always, I think, entail some conflict. And, we may be seeing some of that now,' says Ahmed Soliman.
Whatever the outcome of the ongoing saga, the seeds of division have been implanted in the informal Islamic coalition between Erdogan supporters and the Gulenists. Reconciliation, though possible, will be increasingly complicated by economic stagnation, writes Fadi Hakura.
Despite what Government Ministers claim, the experts at Deutsche Bank, Chatham House, and Ofgem all predict that shale gas extraction will not bring down fuel bills.
The expansion of special economic zones – supported by increased private investment, especially from firms that are not South Korean or Chinese – would significantly improve the odds that North Korea’s regime eases its repressive rule and embraces a program of economic reform, writes Paola Subacchi.
'Cela devrait permettre d'éviter le scénario noir de soldats afghans qui ne seraient pas payés et manqueraient de moyen pour financer leurs équipements,' estime Michael Keating.
'The new factor now is the Jamaat [Islami] and we are seeing a shift in the political landscape, the outcome of which is not quite clear at the moment. This is as much about a struggle for the identity of the state as about zero-sum politics,' said Farzana Shaikh.