On 3 March 2010, the Russia and Eurasia Programme, in partnership with Research Analysts, DSPPA, and the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, held a seminar under the Chatham House Rule to discuss the normalization efforts and the likely regional impact of the Turkish-Armenian diplomatic process.
Session One looked at Armenia and Turkey's moves towards normalising relations:
What are the drivers of Turkish-Armenian rapprochement?
How likely is the ratification of the protocols? What if the ratification process becomes 'frozen'?
How far will the process go? What are the main obstacles to normalisation?
Session Two looked at the regional implications:
Who are the potential winners and losers from improved Turkish-Armenian relations?
How would improved Turkish-Armenian relations impact on the OSCE Minsk Process? If the border is opened, what sources of leverage remain to push Armenia towards a settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict?
What are the long-term strategies of Turkey and Russia in the Caucasus?