Conference

Middle East and North Africa Energy

Navigating uncertainties - politics, markets, reforms and investment

23 Jan 2017 - 09:30 to 24 Jan 2017 - 13:30

Chatham House, London

Overview

A climate of uncertainty confronts the political and economic leaders in the Middle East and North Africa. Persistent lower oil prices, an increasingly competitive global oil market, regional power dynamics, continued security threats, and the need to pursue difficult economic reforms present a combination of strategic and systemic challenges.

This year’s annual Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy conference will address these and the political developments, market variables, reform agendas and investment opportunities that will shape the future of the region.  

The Chatham House Rule 
To enable as open a debate as possible, this conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule.

Twitter 
#CHMenaEnergy

Pricing and booking information 

Ways to book:

  1. Online: Click here to complete the online registration form
  2. Phone: Call Alex Cook on +44 (0)20 7957 5727
  3. Email / Post: Download a PDF registration form, complete and return to Charlotte Laycock via email or post: Chatham House, 10 St. James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE
 RATE (+VAT)
Partners and major corporate members 
All organizations£645
Standard corporate members 
Commercial organizations£1,390
Government departments£820
NGOs and academics£540
Non-members 
Commercial organizations£1,535
Government departments£920
NGOs and academics£595

Your delegate pass includes:

  • Conference attendance
  • Documentation
  • Lunch and refreshments

Travel and accommodation are not included. View a list of recommended hotels here.

Monday 23 January
0930

Overview | Geopolitics, Markets and the MENA Region
09:30 - 11:00

This opening discussion will consider the political and market contexts and how they affect MENA energy producing and exporting countries, exploring ways in which the region can effectively navigate through an environment of uncertainties.

  • How will global political developments affect strategic relationships and power balances within the MENA region?
  • How can MENA producers adapt to an increasingly competitive oil market? Will increased non-OPEC production and the potential re-emergence of Iran create a more dynamic, unpredictable market?
  • What will the Trump presidential administration mean for US-MENA relations?
  • How is Russia’s policy towards the Middle East likely to evolve and what will this mean for power and influence in the region?

Welcome and chair’s opening remarks
Robin Niblett, Director, Chatham House

Speakers
Mohammad Ali Mousavi, Chief Advisor to the Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Iran
Alan Eyre, Director of the Energy Bureau’s Office of the Middle East and Asia, US Department of State
Valérie Marcel, Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House
Nikolay Kozhanov, Senior Lecturer, Political Economy of the Middle East, European University, St Petersburg; Academy Associate, Chatham House

Questions and discussion

11:00 – 11:30    Refreshments

Session One | Political Economy, Diversification and the Reform Agenda
11:30 - 12:45

In the context of subdued forecasts for global growth, continued security risks, and long-established social contracts, what options are open to the MENA region’s energy exporting countries to reform their economies? This session will focus on the choices and challenges for the region’s leaders.

  • Are the political economy reforms currently being enacted having the desired effect? How can policy-makers overcome the structural barriers to delivering politically difficult economic reforms?
  • How can reforms attract inward investment into potential growth sectors in the Middle East?
  • How can Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 reforms and the National Transformation Programme deliver diversification and achieve long-term economic change? How does the proposed part-privatisation of Saudi Aramco fit into this course of action?
  • What are the risks for political stability should reforms be carried out too quickly? Are there sufficient means to cushion citizens from the effects of fiscal reforms?
  • To what degree are younger populations and women in the Middle East on board with the reform agenda?

Chair
Sara Bazoobandi, Senior Lecturer, Regent's University London 

Speakers
Samer Al Ashgar, President, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
Christof Rühl, Head of Global Research, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
Mohammad Al-Zuhair, Chairman, The Kuwait National Fund for SME Development
Hessah Al-Ojayan, Visiting Fellow, Middle East Centre, LSE and Assistant Professor of Finance, Kuwait University 
Martin Hvidt, Associate Professor, Centre for Contemporary Middle East Studies, University of Southern Denmark

Questions and discussion

12:45 – 13:45 Lunch​

Session Two | Iraq: Opportunities, Realities and Expectations
13:45 - 15:10

This session will focus on policy developments in Iraq’s energy sector and challenges for accelerating investment into oil, gas and economic projects.

  • How can Iraq progress its oil and gas plans in the prevailing security and market context?
  • What is the long-term potential in Iraq’s upstream sector and how can increased foreign investments be unlocked?
  • What are the prospects for diversifying Iraq’s oil-based economy in the current economic climate?

Chair
Mina Al-Oraibi, Senior Fellow, Institute for State Effectiveness

Keynote address
HE Jabar Ali al-Luaibi, Minister of Oil, Iraq 

Questions and discussion

Speakers
Falah Jassim Alamri, Director General, State Oil Marketing Organisation (SOMO), Iraq 
Majid Jafar, CEO, Crescent Petroleum
Luay al-Khatteeb, Founder & Executive Director, Iraq Energy Institute; Fellow, Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University

Questions and discussion

Session Three | Iran: Prospects for the Oil and Gas Sector
15:10 – 16:10 

Moderated Panel Discussion

  • In the current geopolitical and market environment what is the appetite among international oil companies (IOCs) and financiers to invest in Iran? What effect will IOC involvement in Iran have on US-Iran relations under the new Trump Administration?
  • How is Iran positioned to manage in a potential period of low prices?

Moderator
Sanam Vakil, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House 

Panellists
Siamak Adibi, Senior Consultant, Head of Middle East GasTeam, Facts Global Energy
Paul Wilson, Deputy Director General, The British Iranian Chamber of Commerce
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, Founding Partner, Europe-Iran Forum

Questions and discussion

16:10 – 16:40 Afternoon refreshments

Session Four | Energy Investment Outlook
16:40 – 18:00

Against a backdrop of cuts to global oil and gas investment, the MENA region has continued to invest heavily across the energy value chain. This session will assess energy investments across the region, the prospects for the upstream oil and gas sector, renewable energy projects to meet rising power demand and emerging opportunities.   

  • What is the outlook for upstream investment in the MENA region? How might the COP 21 Paris Agreement impact the prospects for the gas sector in the MENA region? Is there an opportunity for natural gas to significantly develop while transitions within renewables and energy efficiency progress?
  • Which are the countries in the MENA region that are leading the investment drive, and which are best placed to benefit in the event of price rises?
  • How can economic opportunities offered by renewable energy in the region be maximized? What role does the regional energy market and pricing mechanisms have on this development?
  • What are the demand forecasts in Asia and how will they influence investment decisions in the Middle East?                      

Chair
Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Keynote address
HE Dr Seyed Mohammad Hossein Adeli, Secretary General, Gas Exporting Countries Forum

Questions and discussion 

Moderated panel discussion

Moderator
Paul Stevens, Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Panellists
Edward Morse, Global Head of Commodities Research, Citigroup 
Bassam Fattouh, Director, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 
Michal Meidan, Associate Fellow, Asia Programme, Chatham House 
Paddy Padmanathan, President and CEO, ACWA Power 

Questions and discussion

18:00 Close of day one and reception hosted by Chatham House

 

Tuesday 24 January
0930

Session Five | Risks, Instability and Security
09:30 - 11:15 

This session will focus on the campaign against violent extremism in the MENA region, the effectiveness of current approaches, and the threat posed by systemic violence for the region’s energy sector.

  • ​What is the security outlook across the MENA region? How is the threat posed by extremism and terrorism likely to evolve in the region and beyond?
  • What do developments in global security and military power balances mean for regional security? How might the US policy on counterterrorism develop under a Trump presidency and what would this mean for the region?
  • How are efforts to build effective resistance to Islamic State (IS) faring? What are the limitations of an IS-centric approach to counterterrorism and combating Islamist extremism?
  • What is the role of energy in IS’s strategy? What are the key points of vulnerability for the region’s energy sector and what impact has the security situation had on the oil sector?
  • How can Libya overcome restrictions on oil production and exports and revive its hydrocarbons sector in the face of continued instability and security problems?

Chair
Lina Khatib, Head, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House 

UK Ministerial address
Tobias Ellwood MP, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State, Foreign and Commonwealth Office, UK 

Questions and discussion

Keynote address
Mustafa Sanallah, Chairman, National Oil Corporation, Libya

Questions and discussion

Speakers
Elisabeth Kendall, Senior Research Fellow in Arabic, Pembroke College, University of Oxford 
James Moran, Principal Adviser, Middle East and North Africa, European External Action Service
Jessica Long, Deputy Director, Counterterrorism, US State Department

Questions and discussion

11:15 – 11:45 Refreshments

Session Six | North Africa and the East Mediterranean
11:45 - 13:15

This session will assess the prospects for further development in North Africa’s upstream sector, and what recent agreements in the neighbouring Eastern Mediterranean may mean for expanding gas production from new supply sources.

  • What can be learned from the speed of progress following the Zohr gas discovery in Egypt? What are the decision-making obstacles present in other countries that Egypt was able to overcome?
  • Can Algeria attract the necessary international investment and continue to revive its oil and gas output after years of stagnation?
  • What are the risks and potential benefits of Lebanon establishing a national oil company, and at what stage could it be most beneficial?
  • What are the political implications of the Israel–Jordan gas deal?

Chair 
Catherine Hunter, Senior Research Manager, North Africa and East Mediterranean, IHS 

Keynote address
HE Eng Tarek El Molla, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, Egypt

Questions and discussion

Speakers
Ahmed Mecheraoui, Vice-President, Sonatrach (1998–02); Senior Adviser to the Algerian Minister of Energy and Mines (2011–15)
Ziya Altunyaldiz, Chair, Committee on Industry, Trade, Energy, Natural Resources, Information and Technology, Turkish Grand National Assembly
Wissam Zahabi, Executive Board Member, Lebanese Petroleum Administration
Beverley Milton-Edwards, Visiting Fellow, Brookings Doha Center and Professor of Politics, Queen’s University Belfast

Questions and discussion

13:15 End of conference and lunch


© The Royal Institute of International Affairs 2017

Keynote speakers

Speakers

Siamak Adibi to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa 2017 conference

Siamak Adibi

Senior Consultant, Head of Middle East Gas Team, Facts Global Energy

Dr Falah Alamri to speak at the MENA Energy 2016 conference

Falah Jassim Alamri

Director General, State Oil Marketing Organisation (SOMO), Iraq

Samer AlAshgar to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Samer Al Ashgar

President, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center

Luay al-Khatteeb to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa 2017 conference

Luay al-Khatteeb

Founder & Executive Director, Iraq Energy Institute, and Fellow, Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University

Hessah Al-Ojayan to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Hessah Al-Ojayan

Visiting Fellow, Middle East Centre, LSE and Assistant Professor of Finance, Kuwait University

Mina al-Oraibi to speak at Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Mina Al-Oraibi

Senior Fellow, Institute for State Effectiveness

Ziya Altunyaldiz to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Ziya Altunyaldiz

Chair, Committee on Industry, Trade, Energy, Natural Resources, Information and Technology, Turkish Grand National Assembly

Dr Mohammad Al-Zuhair to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Mohammad Al-Zuhair

Chairman, The Kuwait National Fund for SME Development

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North America 2017 conference

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj

Founding Partner, Europe-Iran Forum

Sara Bazoobandi, Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

Sara Bazoobandi

Senior Lecturer, Regent's University London

Alan Eyre to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2018 conference

Alan Eyre

Director of the Energy Bureau’s Office of the Middle East and Asia, US Department of State

Bassam Fattouh to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Bassam Fattouh

Director, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

Catherine Hunter

Senior Research Manager, North Africa and East Mediterranean, IHS

Martin Hvidt to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Martin Hvidt

Associate Professor, Centre for Contemporary Middle East Studies, University of Southern Denmark

Majid Jafar to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Majid Jafar

Chief Executive Officer, Crescent Petroleum

Dr Elisabeth Kendall to speak at the Chatham House Europe and its Neighbourhood 2016 conference

Elisabeth Kendall

Senior Research Fellow in Arabic, Pembroke College, University of Oxford

Lina Khatib to speak at the Chatham House Europe and its Neighbourhood conference

Lina Khatib

Head, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

Nikolay Kozhanov to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Nikolay Kozhanov

Senior Lecturer, Political Economy of the Middle East, European University, St Petersburg; Academy Associate, Chatham House

Jessica Long

Deputy Director, Counterterrorism, US State Department

Valérie Marcel

Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Ahmed Mecheraoui

Vice-President, Sonatrach (1998–02); Senior Adviser to the Algerian Minister of Energy and Mines (2011–15)

Michal Meidan to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2016 conference

Michal Meidan

Associate Fellow, Asia Programme, Chatham House

Professor Beverley Milton-Edwards to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Professor Beverley Milton-Edwards

Visiting Fellow, Brookings Doha Center and Professor of Politics, Queen’s University Belfast

James Moran to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

James Moran

Principal Adviser, Middle East and North Africa, European External Action Service

Dr Edward Morse to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2016 conference

Edward Morse

Global Head of Commodities, Research, Citigroup

Dr Mohamad Ali Mousavi to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Dr Mohamad Ali Mousavi

Chief Advisor to the Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Iran

Dr Robin Niblett to speak at Chatham House Europe and its Neighbourhood conference 2017

Dr Robin Niblett CMG

Director, Chatham House

Paddy Padmanathan to speak at Chatham House Energy Transitions 2016 conference

Paddy Padmanathan

President & Chief Executive Officer, ACWA Power

Christof Rühl to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Christof Rühl

Head of Global Research, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority

Professor Paul Stevens

Professor Paul Stevens

Distinguished Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Sanam Vakil to speak at Chatham House Europe and its Neighbourhood 2017 conference

Sanam Vakil

Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

Paul Wilson to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa 2017 conference

Paul Wilson

Deputy Director General, The British Iranian Chamber of Commerce

Wissam Zahabi to speak at the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Wissam Zahabi

Executive Board Member, Lebanese Petroleum Administration

Sponsors

Crescent Petroleum to sponsor the Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Eni to sponsor Chatham House MENA Energy 2017 conference

Shell to sponsor the Chatham House Middle East and North Africa Energy 2016 conference

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor for this event, please contact
Amy Wevill on +44 (0) 20 7957 5732. 

Media partners

African Energy and Gulf States News to partner with Chatham House on the MENA Energy 2016 conference

Argus to partner with Chatham House on the MENA Energy 2017 conference

Gulf State News to partner with Chatham House on the Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Interfax to partner with Chatham House on the Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Menas Associates to partner with Chatham House on the MENA Energy 2017 conference

MEES to partner with Chatham House on the MENA 2017 conference

Natural Gas World to partner with Chatham House on the Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

Oxford Strategic Consulting to partner with Chatham House on the Middle East and North Africa Energy 2016 conference

OxGaps to partner with Chatham House on the Middle East and North Africa Energy 2017 conference

If you are interested in becoming a media partner for this event, please contact
Amy Smith on +44 (0)20 7957 5755 

Venue

Chatham House
10 St James's Square
London
SW1Y 4LE
UK
[email protected]

Telephone: +44 (0)20 7314 2785
Fax: +44 (0)20 7957 5710

If you wish to book the venue for your own event please phone +44 (0)20 7314 2764

Directions
The nearest tube station is Piccadilly Circus which is on the Piccadilly and the Bakerloo Underground lines. From Piccadilly follow Regent Street southwards towards Pall Mall and take the first road on the right called Jermyn Street. Duke of York Street is the second road on the left and leads to St James's Square. Chatham House is immediately on your right.

Map

Accommodation
Although we cannot book accommodation for delegates, we have arranged a reduced rate at some nearby hotels, where you can book your own accommodation. Please inform the hotel that you will be attending a conference at Chatham House (The Royal Institute of International Affairs) to qualify for the Institute's reduced rate.

Please note all rates are subject to availability.

Flemings Mayfair
Half Moon Street
Mayfair
London - W1J 7BH

Tel: + 44 (0)20 7499 2964
Fax: + 44 (0)20 7499 1817

Standard Single from £195 + VAT

The Cavendish London
81 Jermyn Street
London - SW1Y 6JF

Tel: + 44 (0)20 7930 2111
Fax: + 44 (0)20 7839 2125

Standard Single £205 + VAT

Book The Cavendish online

The Stafford London 
St James's Place
London - SW1A 1NJ

Tel: 020 7518 1125
Fax: 020 7493 7121

Standard Single £235 +VAT

The Savoy London
Strand
London - WC2R 0EU

Tel: 020 7836 4343
Fax: 020 7240 6040 

Standard Single £250 +VAT

Press registration

All press passes for this event have now been issued.

Contact us 

For enquiries relating to the conference agenda or sponsorship please call Amy Wevill on 
+44 (0)20 7957 5732

For registration enquiries please call Alex Cook on +44 (0)20 7957 5727

For general enquiries please email [email protected]