The EU's Prospects 20 years after the Fall of Communism

Global Futures: The Annual Members' Conference

19 November 2009 - 12:00am to 20 November 2009 - 12:00am

Chatham House, London



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Organized in partnership with the European Commission representation in the UK

This conference will consider the implications of policy decisions taken within the EU over the last 20 years, since the fall of the Berlin Wall and subsequent EU enlargement, on the next 20 years.

The current economic crisis has exposed the extent to which the EU member states are engaged in a project that contains as many uncertainties for the future as it does signposts towards greater European security and prosperity.

What are the European Union's prospects 20 years after the fall of communism?

  • Will the financial crisis drive another phase of economic integration across the EU or will informal barriers to intra-EU investment harden?
  • To what extent has EU enlargement strengthened or weakened the EU economically and politically?
  • What scope is there to extend the enlargement process over the coming years, and are there new ways that the EU might open up further to those countries outside the EU's borders but within its extended neighbourhood?
  • Can migration be managed to fulfill Europe's labour needs and still maintain social stability?
  • Will the rise in threats to citizens' domestic security lead to a further deepening of EU member states' cooperation on justice and home affairs?
  • Can European states work together and play a leadership role in international economic negotiations and on questions of global governance?

This conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule. Information for journalists >>

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This conference starts at 9.30am and finishes at 5.30pm

Session One
EU National Economies: Lessons from last 20 years and models for the future

  • Given the experience of the past 20 years, which have proved to be the most successful national economic models across the EU?
  • What prospects are there for raising levels of sustainable domestically-driven growth?

09.30 Chair's Opening Remarks
Dr Robin Niblett
Chatham House

09.45 Keynote Address
Dr Cecilia Malmström
Minister for EU Affairs
Prime Minister's Office, Sweden

10.05 Discussion

10.25 Panel Discussion
Chair Dr DeAnne Julius CBE
Chatham House

Erik Berglöf
Chief Economist and Special Adviser to the President
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

John Peet
Europe Editor
The Economist

Colin Ellis
European Economist
Daiwa Securities SMBC

11.10 -11.30 Refreshment break

Session Two
The Future of the EU Single Market

  • What prospects are there for major breakthroughs in new areas of European economic integration?
  • Will we see a more interconnected EU energy market or rising energy nationalism across the EU?
  • Are EU-wide service industries, including in the financial sector, more or less of a prospect for the future?
  • Will the Euro-area widen to central and eastern Europe? Will Euro-area governments deepen macro-economic cooperation?

11.30 Panel Discussion
Chair Tony Barber
Brussels Bureau Chief
Financial Times

Professor Iain Begg
Professorial Research Fellow
European Institute,
London School of Economics and Political Science

Sir John Grant
Government and Public Affairs
BG Group plc

Sarah Lambert
Acting Head
European Commission Representation in the United Kingdom

Professor Jan Å vejnar
Director of the International Policy Center, Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
University of Michigan

13.00-14.00 Lunch

Session Three
Domestic Security: A new frontier for European integration?

  • How can European states coordinate their policies to cope with the growing presures of illegal migration?
  • With the growing reach of organized crime networks, can European efforts to cooperate in the fight against crime turn the tide?
  • Is there a risk that the current economic crisis will lead to the emergence of new extremist groups?
  • Will the growing range of domestic threats to citizens' individual security, from criminality to terrorism, lead to a further deepening of EU member states' cooperation on issues of justice and home affairs?

14.00 Panel Discussion
Chair Professor Richard Whitman
Professor of Politics, University of Bath,
Department of European Studies and Modern Languages

Dr Gunilla Herolf
Senior Researcher
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Dr Yves Boyer
Directeur Adjoint
Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique and
Professor of Geopolitics, École polytechnique

Edwin Bakker
Head, Security and Conflict Programme
Clingendael, The Netherlands

15.30 -16.00 Refreshment break

Session Four
Can Europe Hope to be a World Leader?

  • What are the prospects for the EU playing a leadership role in the future on major international issues such as climate change, development assistance and international trade?
  • How important are the reforms contained in the Lisbon Treaty for strengthening the international influence of the EU?
  • Will EU states adapt their forms of external representation in international organizations such as the IMF and the UN in order to maximize influence and retain legitimacy in a G20 world?
  • How central is the transatlantic partnership to Europe's future security and global influence?

16.00 Panel Discussion
Chair Dr Robin Niblett
Chatham House

Brigadier General Jo Coelmont
Senior Associate Fellow
Egmont- The Royal Institute for International Relations

Mark Leonard
Executive Director
European Council on Foreign Relations

Jamie Patrick Shea
Director, Policy Planning
Private Office of the Secretary General

Paweł Świeboda
The Centre for European Strategy

17.45 End of conference

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