Analysis of the Italian Election
On Sunday 4 March, Italians will go to the polls against the backdrop of a waning economy, large public debt, disillusionment with the EU and a growing anti-immigration sentiment in many parts of the country.
Italy has a history of coalition-forming and shifting alliances, having had 64 governments and numerous prime ministers since the Second World War. But this election is set to be even less predictable than usual: while pre-election polls suggest the most likely coalition is one containing four parties from the right - Berlusconi’s Forward Italy (Forza Italia), the nationalist Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d’Italia), the liberal conservative Us With Italy (Noi con l’Italia) and the far-right Northern League (Lega Nord) - a working majority seems unlikely, making the most realistic outcome a grand coalition.
In the aftermath of Sunday’s election, this webinar will reflect on the results and the dynamics of coalition-building now underway. What effects did Silvio Berlusconi’s return and the rise of the anti-establishment 5 Star Movement have on the final vote? What challenges might potential coalition partners now face when coming to an agreement? And with just one of the realistic contenders for Prime Minister – former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi – offering unqualified support for the EU project, and Lega Nord going so far as demanding an ‘Italexit’, what might the result of this election mean for the future of the EU?
Please note, this event is online only. Members will be able to watch the webinar from a computer or other internet-ready device and do not need to come to Chatham House to attend.