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Assessing China's Future

10 June 2016 - 17:30 to 18:30

Chatham House London, UK


Professor David Shambaugh, Director, China Policy Program, George Washington University; Author, China’s Future

Chair: Rod Wye, Associate Fellow, Asia Programme, Chatham House



Following years of unprecedented growth, China finds itself at a critical juncture in the development of its economy, society and international relations. So where does it go from here? Will China be successful in implementing a new wave of transformational reforms that could make it the world’s leading superpower? Or will its leaders shy away from the drastic changes required? Might China move down a more liberal or even democratic path? Or will China instead emerge as a hard, authoritarian and aggressive superstate?

Drawing on his new book, China’s Future, David Shambaugh argues that these potential pathways are all possibilities but they depend on key decisions yet to be made by China’s leaders and different pressures from within Chinese society, as well as actions taken by other nations. He will assess each scenario and outline their implications.

This event will be followed by a reception open to all attendees.