China's Economy: Powerhouse, Menace, or the Next Japan?
Arthur Kroeber, Founder, Gavekal Dragonomics
Chair: John Nilsson-Wright, Head, Asia Programme, Chatham House
In the last three decades China has surged from impoverished backwater to become the world's second-biggest economy and largest trading nation. Yet as the recent tumult on global markets shows, China risks destabilizing the world as it makes the hard shift from an investment-driven to a consumer-oriented economy. The headwinds of a rapidly aging population, a battle against rampant corruption and an enormous national debt are also slowing the country's growth. The speaker will discuss whether China will mature into a global economic leader, trigger a crisis, or stagnate like Japan.
Attendance at this event is by invitation only.