Prospects for Middle East and North Africa Energy

1 February 2010 - 12:00am to 3 February 2010 - 12:00am

Chatham House, London



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'Prospects for Middle East and North Africa Energy' will explore the changing dynamics in North Africa and Middle East energy developments and discuss the impact of the recession on the region.

How is the increasing oil and gas consumption in the producing countries affecting global supplies? Will producers invest in order to maintain exports?

Participants at this event will have an opportunity to examine:

  • the current economic state of affairs in the leading oil and gas producing countries of North Africa and the Middle East
  • the issues surrounding consumption and provision of energy for domestic development and energy for export
  • the prospects for domestic and foreign investment in the region.

Policy makers, representatives of National Oil Companies (NOCs), investors, commentators and analysts will discuss investment and regulatory policies in Algeria, Libya and Egypt, the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran and Iraq. They will address issues of critical importance, including:

  • Will Saudi energy consumption catch up with oil production, and what may be the role of alternative energy sources to maintain oil exports?
  • What is the investment climate for IOCs in Libya and Algeria?
  • What are short- and medium-term plans for investment in production expansion in the States of the Gulf Cooperation Council?
  • What impact will the fallout from Iran's disputed election results have on the energy investment regime?
  • What is the status of discussions between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government on contracts with IOCs? 

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DAY ONE: Monday 1 February 2010


Session One
Region's Reserves, Demand and Investment Plans

  • What impact has the economic downturn had on internal and external demand? How will this affect investment decisions
  • How far can OPEC protect oil prices and safeguard oil revenues to the region?
  • How is the increasing energy consumption in the region affecting global supplies? Will producers invest in order to maintain exports?
  • Will International Oil Companies (IOCs) be able to make significant investments in the region?

Chair Dr Robin Niblett
Chatham House

Keynote Addresses
HE Abdalla Salem El-Badri (on the record)
Secretary General
Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

HE Abdullah bin Hamad Al-Attiyah
Deputy Premier and Minister of Energy and Industry
State of Qatar

HE Abdulla bin Dhaen Alhamli
Minister of Energy, United Arab Emirates

Andrew P Swiger (on the record)
Senior Vice President
ExxonMobil Corporation

11.40 Refreshments

12.00 Speakers

Christopher Segar
Division of Global Energy Dialogue, Middle East and North Africa
International Energy Agency

Dr Edward L Morse
Head of Global Commodities Research
Credit Suisse

Professor Paul Stevens
Senior Research Fellow, Energy, Environment and Development Programme
Chatham House

13.30 Lunch

Session Two
North African Energy Perspectives

  • What are the investment terms for IOCs? Can they gain access to the region's oil and gas reserves?
  • Can the region increase its refining capacity? What are the investment opportunities in this sector?

14.30 Chair Dr Claire Spencer
Head, Middle East and North Africa Programme
Chatham House

Mark F Lewis
Managing Director
EMC-Energy Market Consultants (UK) Ltd

Jon Marks
Associate Fellow, Chatham House and Director,
Corss-Border Information Ltd

Javier Blas
Commodities Correspondent
Financial Times

Trevor Witton
Independent Consultant

16.00 Refreshments

17.30 End of day one and drinks reception

DAY TWO: Tuesday 2 February 2010


Session Three
Countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council

  • What are the short- and medium-term plans for investment in production expansion?
  • Will energy consumption catch up with oil production, and what may be the role of alternative energy sources to maintain oil exports?
  • What are the economic challenges to developing Liquid Natural Gas and Gas to Liquid? What investment is available?
  • What role is there likely to be for foreign investment in the energy sector?
  • The role of sovereign wealth fund in managing revenues

Chair Carola Hoyos
Chief Energy Correspondent
Financial Times

Wael Sawan
Vice President Commerical
Qatar Shell

Majid Jafar
Executive Director
Crescent Petroleum Group

Brad Bourland
Chief Economist and Managing Director,
Proprietary Investments, Jadwa Investment Company
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Professor Giacomo Luciani
Director, Gulf Research Centre
The Gulf Institute, Geneva

11.10 Refreshments

11.30 Professor Jonathan Stern
Director, Gas Research
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies

Kristi Jones
Oil Strategist, Global Commodities Research Group
JP Morgan

Dr Jean-Francois Seznec
Visiting Associate Professor, Center for Contemporary Arab Studies
Georgetown University, Washington DC

13.00 Lunch

Session Four
Iran and Iraq

  • In what shape is the hydrocarbon law?
  • What progress has been made in discussions between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government on contracts with IOCs?
  • What is the future of the National Oil Company and status of Iraq's proposed pipelines?
  • What are the Iran government's views, needs, wants and concerns?
  • Can Iran increase its refining capacity as domestic consumption rises? Will rising domestic consumption cut into supplies available for export?


Chair Sir Richard Dalton
Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme
Chatham House

Keynote Address
HE Ashti Hawrami
Minister of Natural Resources
Kurdistan Regional Government

14.40 Interactive Moderated Panel Discussion

Professor Ali Ansari
Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House and
Director, Iranian Institute, University of St Andrews

Karim Sadjapour
Associate, Middle East Program
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Professor Gareth Stansfield
Director, Institute of Arab and Islamic Studies, Exeter University and
Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House

Mark F Lewis

15.40 End of the conference

This is a draft agenda and as such is subject to change.

© The Royal Institute of International Affairs 2009

This conference will offer a unique opportunity to network with senior officials from businesses, government and academic institutions.

Our previous conference 'Middle East Energy: The Politics of Investment and Supply' in February 2009 saw delegates from the following companies and institutions:

BG Group plc
BHP Billiton Petroleum
Booz & Co
Cabinet Office
Cairn Energy plc
Cambridge Centre for Energy Studies
Candax Energy Inc
Centre for Arab and Iranian Studies (CAIS)
Centre for Global Energy Studies
Clifford Chance LLP
College of New Jersey
Control Risks
CSS Zurich
Department for Energy and Climate Change
Department for International Development (DFID)
DLA Piper
Dresdner Kleinwort
Economist Intelligence Unit
Embassy of Finland
Embassy of Macedonia
Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany
Embassy of the Republic of Hungary
Embassy of the State of Kuwait
Embassy of the Sultanate of Oman
Embassy of the United Arab Emirates
Energy Charter Secretariat
Energy Development Co Ltd
Energy Industries Council
ExxonMobil International Limited
Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)
Hess Limited
HM Treasury
HSBC Holdings plc
International Association of Oil & Gas Producers
International Energy Agency (IEA)
International Nuclear Energy Academy
Iraq Energy Policy Institute
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation
London School of Economics
Maersk Oil & Gas
Medley Global Advisors
Ministry of Defence (MOD)
Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Norway
Mitsubishi Corporation
Morgan Stanley Investment Banking Divison
Morris International Associates
Nexen Petroleum
Norwegian Oil Industry Association (OLF)
Office of National Assessments
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
Petrolog & Associates
Premier Oil plc
Presidency of the Ministerial Council (PCM)
Princeton University
Representation of the Faroes
Royal Norwegian Embassy
Samson Investment Company
Sasol Chevron
Saudi Petroleum Overseas Ltd
School of Oriental and African Studies (London Middle East Institute, LMEI)
Spanish Embassy
State Street Global Advisors (SSgA)
Statoil UK Limited
Sudan Embassy
Swedish Energy Agency
The Ditchley Foundation
Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)
UK Atomic Energy Authority
University of Oxford
US Department of Commerce
US Department of State
Vallourec & Mannesmann Tubes
Virginia Polytechnical Institute and State University
Warwick Business School
Wellcome Trust
Zagros Paydar Energy Investment Corporation