Darryl Howlett, Tanya Ogilvie-White, John Simpson and Emily Taylor

This study examines the factors that will shape states's nuclear weapons policies this century.

This study examines the factors that will shape states's nuclear weapons policies this century. It discusses and evaluates the influence of key strategic relationships, military threats and technological developments, domestic factors, changing concepts of security, and the evolution of arms management and limitation regimes. It analyses various types of disarmament and arms control strategies and the verification techniques and frameworks that might sustain them. Against this background, the paper identifies three possible nuclear futures.

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