- The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) continues its talent for delivering nasty surprises. Despite a good beginning to the Obama administration's relations with China, the DPRK remains an area of possible conflict.
- The DPRK regime is wholly focussed on survival, built on its military and nuclear capacity. But the DPRK faces the possibility of implosion.
- China's role might not be as clear as some observers might claim but for historic, geopolitical and ideological reasons it remains the key player. It will play the main role in the event of the worst-case scenario either controlling the impact of implosion, or rebuilding a new entity.