This paper is a summary of a roundtable discussion held at Chatham House on 23 November 2011. The event was held under the Chatham House Rule.
Key findings that emerged were:
- Without centralization of political and military powers the fragile legitimacy of the current government will be called into question.
- Preventing factionalisation between regions, where different people are in control of different aspects of oil production, is crucial to prevent inefficiency, instability and conflict.
- Regulation of oil revenues is crucial in preventing the creation and perpetuation of patronage systems, and it is also essential to avoid opportunities for the re-establishment of familiar patronage systems around protection of the energy and oil sectors by militia.
- Libyan politicians need to strike a balance between the West, Africa and Middle East; managing relations with the EU will be a significant challenge.
Libya Working Group.