Panel

Russia–Ukraine war: Who will break first?

Hear from Arsenyi Yatsenyuk, former Prime Minister of Ukraine, as he discusses mounting military and economic pressures on both sides, and how Kyiv can sustain the defence of its sovereignty.

Event date and time: 3 November 2026 — 12:00 TO 13:00 GMT

Event location: Hybrid — Chatham House and Online

The Russia–Ukraine war is placing mounting pressure on both countries as battlefield attrition combines with growing economic strain. Russian aerial attacks continue to test Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy, while Moscow faces its own financial pressures and Ukrainian attacks on oil refineries and military industry. The question is whether either side can sustain the fight or whether these pressures could change the war’s trajectory.

This event discusses

  • How is the character of the Russia–Ukraine war changing?
  • How are Russian aerial attacks affecting Ukraine’s economy and population?
  • How could changes to US sanctions affect Russia’s calculations?
  • What resources does Russia have to continue the war, and who is enabling it externally?
  • How can Ukraine meet its growing funding requirements?
  • What pressures on the Kremlin could shift the course of the war?
Register today

Event format and who can attend

Panel sessions bring together several renowned speakers with different perspectives on an issue, offering the audience a thought-provoking discussion that thoroughly analyses a topic from many angles. They are held in our Joseph Gaggero Hall and on the record. 

Members and guests get priority access, with places available to those who register their interest. 

By registering for this event, attendees agree to our code of conduct, ensuring a respectful, inclusive, and welcoming space for diverse perspectives and debate.

Become an individual member

Join our global community as we prepare to mark 100 years of the Chatham House Rule, and connect with the people, ideas and conversations shaping international affairs.

Auto insert on standard events