European defence

Galip Dalay explores the main issues in the upcoming Turkish elections as well as the significance of the Kurds in determining the outcome.

Explaining the risks of Russia’s decision to suspend the New START nuclear treaty with the US, and the wider implications for international relations.

Mathieu Boulegue explains the impact of Russia’s war against Ukraine on the Arctic governance, and what must be done to address growing polar insecurity.

James Nixey, director of the Russia and Eurasia programme at Chatham House, explores whether sanctions have been effective in deterring Russia.

Russia’s policies for the polar regions overlap and are increasingly becoming militarized, as the perception of threats to Russian national interests grows.

Exploring key questions around Putin issuing what was interpreted as a threat to use nuclear weapons against NATO countries if they interfere in Ukraine.

James Nixey outlines the likelihood or not of a victory for Russia in its war on Ukraine.

Over time it has become clear Russia is unwilling to settle its borders with Ukraine and acknowledge its territorial integrity as an independent state.

James Nixey addresses whether there are political divisions in Ukraine or if the country is united in its fight for independence.

Aanu Adeoye outlines how the invasion of Ukraine is affecting perceptions of Russia across the Africa region.

Professor Andrew Dorman explores the reasons why Turkey might want to block Finland and Sweden from joining NATO.

Professor Andrew Dorman explores the impact of Finland and Sweden potentially joining the military alliance.

Exploring key questions about chemical and biological weapons as, although large-scale use in Ukraine appears unlikely, concerns remain about targeted attacks.

Marianne Schneider-Petsinger explains how Russia may try to use cryptocurrencies and its ‘digital rouble’ to evade international sanctions.

Experts explain how key sectors in Georgia can work together to counter disinformation tactics.

Dr Patricia Lewis, director of the International Security programme at Chatham House, explores the question of both biological and chemical weapons in Ukraine.

As Russia is using Belarus in its invasion of Ukraine, experts analyze the role of Aliaksandr Lukashenka’s regime, and its impact on Belarusian sovereignty.

Policymakers and analysts clinging to the mantra of ‘Minsk implementation’ must learn hard lessons about why this agreement is no diplomatic silver bullet.

Examining the key questions around Russia’s strategy and military movements, and the likely developments in the next few weeks.

Authors of a new research paper offer an overview of Russia’s modern military capabilities and advanced technologies in key sectors.

James Sherr, Keir Giles and Duncan Allan explain how misconceptions about Russia and its leadership negatively impact policy.

Ekaterina Schulmann and Nikolai Petrov outline two myths common in the Western policy debate on Russia.

Orysia Lutsevych explains why the myth that Crimea was always Russian is wrong.

Short animation explaining the issues around the growing use of drones and what should be done to address them.

Russia shows readiness and an ability to move at speed when needed, but key to its strategy is retaining control of both military and diplomatic manoeuvres.

Short animation explaining the significance of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) Review Conference.

Outlining key issues raised by the UK government’s plan to reduce its commitment to spend 0.7 percent of gross national income on overseas assistance each year.

Keir Giles introduces his new book Moscow Rules: What Drives Russia to Confront the West.

In a time of uncertainty and flux, a new Chatham House report, ‘Transatlantic Relations Converging or Diverging?’, explores the fundamentals of the transatlantic relationship and takes a look at the state of the partnership today and what can be done to support it in the future.

As Russian forces leave Belarus, what are the main lessons to draw from the Zapad-2017 drills?

Like other high-profile weapons systems, the impact of F-16s may be curbed by limited numbers and US restrictions on their use.

The surprise raid has put talk of concessions to Moscow on hold. Kyiv hopes it will also defuse fears of Russian escalation.

While problems with procurement and recruitment may be being addressed, appointing external reviewers to the Strategic Defence Review is a creative way to overcome inter-service rivalry and build on deep experience.

Reconciling its transatlantic approach with EU defence initiatives could make Poland a leader on European defence.

The summit is not only a chance for the new UK government to build relationships with European leaders, but a key opportunity for European countries to make progress on shared political and security challenges.

A shrinking army risks the UK’s ability to fulfil its roles within the alliance. Boosting spending on recruitment, retention and upgrading capabilities is essential to maintaining a leadership role.

The NATO summit in Washington is an opportunity for Western leaders to push for innovative deterrence mechanisms against Russia’s war machine.

A new UK government should consider the resilience and preparedness of society as a vital aspect of national security.

Procurement, security cooperation and international development policy require urgent attention.

As the EU seeks to diversify its energy supply, Russian ‘gas-laundering’ could undermine its foreign policy objectives.

While all eyes are on the battlefield, without recovery finance and key domestic reforms, Ukrainian resilience is at risk.

Whichever party wins the general election, limited resources will prevent an expansive foreign agenda. ‘Realistic ambition’ should be the guiding principle, with a focus on adapting to risks around the US and China, improving relations with the EU, and strengthening the UK’s role in international governance and development.

The government will need to be clearer on how the spending increase will be funded and where the UK will direct its focus.

The essential aid package will allow Kyiv to slow down Russian forces. But the delay had a real cost for Ukraine, and a secure long-term funding model is required.

Alliance countries need better understanding of the risks to their undersea infrastructure, and improved signalling to deter Russian sabotage and hybrid attacks.

Germany’s national identity is being challenged amid its response to the wars in Gaza, Ukraine and a fraught relationship with France.

As NATO celebrates its 75th anniversary, the UK must overcome its capability gaps to boost the alliance’s deterrence power and account for threats like China.

But without US leadership, the ability of Ukraine’s European allies to cooperate effectively looks uncertain.

Containing Russia requires a holistic view of Black Sea security that considers how this is interlinked with the security of adjacent regions.

As it searches for an appropriate global role after Brexit, the UK has the potential to become the centre of gravity for subsea technology.

Failed tests may help the UK improve the reliability of its independent nuclear deterrent. But such events raise concerns about a lack of investment in non-nuclear defences.

The potential nuclear threats posed by Russia and China are complicated by the possibility of a second Trump presidency.

Donald Trump’s threats to NATO allies must unite European leaders in the defence of Europe.

Zelenskyy hopes his reshuffle will change the trajectory of the war. But the sacking of his trusted commander could complicate a new wave of mobilization.

A protracted conflict works in Russia’s favour. But there is a clear path to bringing it to an early end.

Hungary’s Viktor Orban bows to EU pressure and agrees to a €50 billion support package for Ukraine, but this may not be enough to move the needle in the war.

The EU must tackle the challenge of rogue member states to fulfil its potential as a geostrategic actor.

Russia is playing for time, hoping that support for Ukraine will weaken.

The new Polish government should now build a lasting security partnership with Ukraine.

As NATO defence ministers meet in Brussels, Zelenskyy makes a surprise visit to ensure focus remains on Ukraine.