• Other resource

    Annual Review 2015-16

    Explore the institute's output, activities and achievements from the past year examining global power dynamics, challenges of interdependence and sustainable economic growth.

  • The container ship Osaka Express, operated by Hapag-Lloyd AG, leaves the container terminal at the port in Southampton, UK, on 2 October 2015. Photo: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg/Getty Images.Research paper

    Realizing TTIP’s Strategic Potential

    The strategic case for TTIP is greater – and the stakes higher – now that the UK has decided to leave the EU. But TTIP will create new risks for the West whether it succeeds or fails.

    Gregor IrwinChief economist, Global Counsel
  • An operating drill during oil and gas exploration. Photo: Keith Wood/Getty Images.Research paper

    Guidelines for Good Governance in Emerging Oil and Gas Producers 2016

    The updated Guidelines focus on eight key objectives for the petroleum sector in emerging producing countries and include policy-oriented recommendations for each objective.

    Dr Valérie Marcel
  • A worker stands on a platform next to the Tullow Oil Plc Prof. John Evans Atta Mills Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel at the Sembcorp Marine Tuas shipyard in Singapore. Photo: Nicky Loh/Bloomberg via Getty Images.Research paper

    A Local Content Decision Tree for Emerging Producers

    This paper seeks to present policy-makers of emerging producer countries with a structured framework for considering the multiple factors that come into play in the development of a local content policy.

    Dr Valérie MarcelRoger TissotResearch Fellow, KAPSARCAnthony PaulAdviser to the Minister of Petroleum of the Republic of GhanaEkpen J. OmonbudeEconomic Adviser, Oceans and Natural Resources Advisory Division, Commonwealth Secretariat
  • NKR Defence Army soldier carries out normal duties at a post near Martuni as the situation on the line of contact stays relatively calm, 21 May 2016. Photo: Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images.Research paper

    The Nagorny Karabakh Conflict: Defaulting to War

    Left untended, today’s patterns of international default to the status quo and conflict party default to recursive violence make real the risk of a major regional war.

    Laurence Broers
  • Soy plantation in Amazon rainforest near Santarem, Brazil. Photo: Ricardo Beliel/Brazil Photos/LightRocket via Getty Images.Research paper

    Managing the Risk of Stranded Assets in Agriculture and Forestry

    Climate change may become a major factor in the creation of stranded assets, and not just in the energy sector. Assets in agriculture and forestry may also be at risk because of physical impacts as well as through regulatory and technological change.

    Alison HoareMario RautnerResearcher and Consultant Shane TomlinsonSenior Associate, E3G; Former Senior Research Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House
  • International Affairs

    China and its neighbourhood: transformation, challenges and grand strategy

    China and its neighbours are closely bound by geography. The rise of China presents new challenges and opportunities for the development of its neighbourhood relations and regional strategies. Currently, China’s policy priority in its neighbourhood is active promotion of the construction of a community based on shared interests and a common destiny. The real challenge is that China’s rise from a weak to a powerful state has triggered multiple and complex reactions and has required significant and profound adjustment of regional relationships. As a consequence there have been growing tensions in China’s neighbourhood areas. Traditional Chinese culture sets the highest value on ‘peace and harmony’, commends the ‘defusing’ of contradictions and pursues the result of ‘reconciliation’. Now that China is getting strong and is able to make choices as it wishes, the time has come for it to display its ‘culture of harmony’.
    924Zhang Yunling
  • International Affairs

    Cooperation, competition and shaping the outlook: the United States and China’s neighbourhood diplomacy

    The United States has long maintained a significant political, economic and security presence in the Asia–Pacific region and has been a major factor shaping China’s geopolitical and geo-economic environment. Over the last few years, China has demonstrably attached higher priority and devoted more resources to its neighbourhood diplomacy. This article examines the impact of the so-called ‘US factor’ on this recent shift in Beijing’s international strategy under the new leadership of Xi Jinping. It looks at both cooperation/coordination and competition/conflict between China and the United States in a number of regional security issues in China’s neighbourhood, such as in the Korean peninsula, Afghanistan and the South and East China Seas. It argues that it is principally the Obama administration’s ‘rebalance to Asia’ strategy that has prompted China to take a number of initiatives to attend to its neighbourhood diplomacy. As Washington rebalances to Asia and Beijing rebalances to its neighbourhood, interactions between China and the US on China’s periphery have intensified, which in turn has a significant impact on the configuration of China’s neighbourhood diplomacy, as well as on the evolving regional order.
    924Wu Xinbo
  • Book

    Foreign Policy: Thinking Outside the Box

    This collection of essays by renowned scholar Amitai Etzioni challenges readers to reconsider their basic assumptions about the making of foreign policy.

    Amitai EtzioniProfessor of International Affairs and Director of the Institute for Communitarian Policy Studies, George Washington University
  • International Affairs

    Between assertiveness and self-restraint: understanding China’s South China Sea policy

    Since 2010, there has been obvious escalation of tensions in the South China Sea, coinciding with China’s rise and the United States’ ‘pivot’ to Asia. Has China become more aggressive in its approach to the South China Sea? What strategic goal is China is pursuing in this area? Where does the South China Sea rank in China’s overall foreign policy agenda? This article addresses these issues from the Chinese perspective. In the first part, the article discusses China’s changing strategy and the leadership’s thinking behind the changes. In the second part, it examines in detail several incidents involving China in the South China Sea, including confrontations with the Philippines over Scarborough Shoal and the Second Thomas Shoal and China’s more recent land reclamation. The article argues that China’s strategic goal in the South China Sea is a relatively modest one. The South China Sea disputes do not rank particularly highly among China’s strategic priorities. To a great extent the handling of these issues is also subject to the dynamics of the overall relationship between China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
    924Zhou Fangyin