The agreement on the future of Iran’s nuclear programme is controversial in both Tehran and Washington. But let us suppose, as is likely, that Presidents Rouhani and Obama tame their political critics sufficiently for it to be ratified and enter into force. Iran will start cutting back its nuclear activities and stockpiles, and sanctions relief will then kick in.
What happens next after the Iran nuclear agreement?
There will be shocks but Iran has more incentives to honour the agreement than to subvert it.