The Minsk Conundrum: Western Policy and Russia’s War in Eastern Ukraine

Research paper

Published 22 May 2020

Updated 17 December 2020

ISBN: 978 1 78413 400 6

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Angela Merkel, Emmanuel Macron and Vladimir Putin attend a press conference after a summit on Ukraine at the Élysée Palace in Paris, 9 December 2019. Photo: Charles Platiau/Pool/AFP/Getty Images
Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Angela Merkel, Emmanuel Macron and Vladimir Putin attend a press conference after a summit on Ukraine at the Élysée Palace in Paris, 9 December 2019. Photo: Charles Platiau/Pool/AFP/Getty Images
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Angela Merkel, Emmanuel Macron and Vladimir Putin attend a press conference after a summit on Ukraine at the Élysée Palace in Paris, 9 December 2019. Photo: Charles Platiau/Pool/AFP/Getty Images

The Minsk agreements rest on two irreconcilable interpretations of Ukraine’s sovereignty: is Ukraine sovereign, as Ukrainians insist, or should its sovereignty be limited, as Russia demands? Instead of trying to resolve an unresolvable contradiction, Western policymakers should acknowledge the starkness of the Minsk conundrum.