How to turn Belarus from a Russian ally into a European asset

Interview: Ryhor Astapenia tells Sara Seth how the West must deploy sanctions relief and soft power to break Minsk’s longstanding ties with the Kremlin.

The World Today

Published 16 March 2026 — 2 minute READ

Image — Russian President Vladimir Putin embraces Belarussian President Aliaksandr Lukashenka during the SCTO Summit on 23 November 2023, in Minsk, Belarus. Photo:Getty Images.

Sara Seth

Communications Officer, Communications and Publishing

Your recent research paper is ‘Transforming Belarus from a Russian asset to a buffer state for European security’. Why is Belarus so important? 

Its geographical location is critical for regional security. With Russia controlling Belarus, it has more opportunities to threaten the security of Ukraine and the three bordering NATO countries – Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. Politically distancing Belarus from Russia  will make the whole region safer. The invasion of Ukraine in 2022 that started from Belarus shows how the Kremlin can use Belarus to enhance the operational reach, range and accuracy of its weapon systems.

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