Keir Giles

Putin’s words will give Europe’s most timorous leaders another excuse to soft-pedal support to Ukraine.

Kyiv’s forces are likely to remain on the defensive for much of next year unless the West finally gets fully behind the idea that Putin’s war aims will only change if his hand is forced

The less willing the West is to show Russia its actions have consequences, the more Ukrainian men, women and children will die.

Tech giants hold huge sway in matters of war, life and death. That should concern us all.

The debates over US provision of military aid to Ukraine are following their own familiar and predictable cycle.

President Vladimir Putin, and Russia itself, have been shown to be far weaker than they would like to pretend to be.

Amid clear signs of the Russian leader’s vulnerability, we must think beyond helping Kyiv survive and aim for Zelenskiy to actually win.

The insurrection wasn’t going stop the war: Prigozhin shared Putin’s aims in Ukraine. But a distracted Russia is good for the world.

The West must stand up to Putin but it seems it is capitulating.

By now, we should have learned not to confuse what Putin has said with what Russia has done or is about to do.

Keir Giles, a senior consulting fellow at the Chatham House think-tank, said the West was guilty of making ‘assumptions’ which were divorced from the reality of how Russia.

President Vladimir Putin is looking to restore the Russian empire, and he won’t stop with the elimination of Ukraine, says Russia expert Keir Giles.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been described as the “first full-scale drone war.”

The vital battle for the future of Ukraine is not on the front line, but in protecting civilians and critical against Russia’s drone and missile campaign

The Russian leader’s fantastical speech shows he recognises that his country is losing its war on Ukraine.

President Zelenskiy and Ukraine want it finished by winter, but Russia still holds the balance of power.

Despite military successes, Kyiv faces economic devastation, citizens ‘removed’ by Russia and the risk of dwindling support.

Even tiny territorial gains will allow Russia to declare success, regroup, and wait to reopen hostilities at a time of its choosing.

Keir Giles said he believed the opportunity had been missed and a no-fly zone could have implemented before the invasion.

The playbook involves besieging cities, targeting civilians and starvation – we can’t abandon Ukraine to this terrible fate.

A significant military setback would force Russia to finally reassess its place in the modern world.

Moscow is acting with newfound confidence, and with total disregard for European norms. The west’s line of military defence must now be bolstered.

The US risks embarrassing itself and its intelligence if Russia chooses an option other than invasion.

Russia wants to see Nato rolled back – and Ukraine is far from its only pawn in the game.

Moscow needs to tell its people two stories: that it is under threat from a dangerous, aggressive west, but also that Russia itself is strong and can protect itself.

Failing to respond adequately to the deterioration of its security serves only to convince Russia that it can continue to attack.