Mon10

Oct

Tue11

Oct

Conference

Climate Change 2016

Has the game changed?

10 Oct 2016 - 09:30 to 11 Oct 2016 - 13:30
Add to Calendar

Institution of Civil Engineers, London

COP 21 marked a watershed moment for global cooperation to tackle climate change, and the Paris Agreement has been hailed as a ‘game changer’ by many. Nevertheless, four years before the Agreement is implemented, some important issues remain unresolved and a number have emerged. Beyond the negotiations, could low fossil fuel prices and a fragile global economy weaken the resolve of governments to deliver, or over-deliver, on their commitments? This conference will explore issues including:

  • The implications of the Paris outcome for capital investment, innovation and planning in the public and private sectors;
  • Dynamics within and between the major emitters and the prospects for greater near-term ambition, including potential outcomes of the 2016 US presidential election;
  • The outlook for hydrocarbon prices and the implications for low-carbon policies in developed and developing countries;
  • How $1 trillion of investment in clean energy can be mobilized;
  • The feasibility and implications of a major effort to develop carbon sinks and negative emissions technologies.

The Chatham House Rule 
To enable as open a debate as possible, this conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule.

Twitter 
Suggested hashtag:#CHclimate

Pricing

For any questions about which rate applies to you, please call Alex Cook on +44 (0)207 957 5727

 FULL RATE: 
AFTER 12 AUGUST
 EXCL. VATINCL. VAT
Major corporate member rates  
All organizations£645£774
Corporate member rates  
Commercial organizations£1,390£1,668
Government departments£820£984
NGOs and academics£540£648
Standard rates  
Commercial organizations£1,535£1,842 
Government departments£920£1,104
NGOs and academics£595

£714

Monday 10 October
0930

Welcome and chair’s opening remarks
Rob Bailey, Research Director, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Opening address
Laurence Tubiana, French Ambassador for Climate Change and Climate Champion following COP21

Questions and discussion

Session One | Implementing the Paris Outcome
10:00 - 11:30

The Paris Agreement will not enter into force until 2020. In the meantime a number of important issues must be resolved, not least finance and transparency. The Agreement also leaves the door open for governments to increase their commitments through a facilitative dialogue in 2018. This session will consider questions including:

  • Can political momentum from Paris be maintained?
  • What unresolved issues remain and how will they be agreed?
  • How will the numerous pledges from business coalitions and other non-state actors be transformed into vehicles for delivery?
  • What are the prospects for governments submitting more ambitious targets prior to 2020? How might the result of the UK referendum effect EU commitments?
  • How useful and credible are Paris’s long-term goals for business and investment planning? Is there sufficient policy certainty for businesses and investors to make appropriate long-term decisions?

Keynote address
Mary Robinson, President of the Mary Robinson Foundation – Climate Justice, and President of Ireland (1990-97)

Questions and discussion

Speakers
Jos Delbeke, Director General for Climate Action, European Commission 
Janos Pasztor, Senior Adviser to the Secretary-General on Climate Change, United Nations
Sir David King, Special Representative for Climate Change, UK 
Nigel Topping, CEO, We Mean Business

Questions and discussion

11:30 – 12:00 Refreshments

Session Two | Climate Policy in an Era of Cheap Carbon
12:00 - 13:20

Lower hydrocarbon prices have hit fossil fuel companies and exporting countries hard in 2016. However, the impact on renewable energy and climate policies has been less clear cut than might have been expected. This session will consider the outlook for hydrocarbon prices and explore the implications for energy and climate policies in developed and developing countries.

  • How has the recent period of lower fossil fuel prices affected emissions reduction efforts around the world?
  • To what extent have governments used the opportunity to reform fossil fuel subsidies?
  • Which areas of the green economy and fossil sector have been most affected?
  • What are the prospects for future fossil fuel prices and what does this mean for low-carbon policy-making?

Chair
Bernice Lee, Executive Director, Hoffmann Centre for the Sustainable Resource Economy, Chatham House

Speakers
Professor Yacob Mulugetta, Professor of Energy and Development, Policy Director of MPA Programme University College London
Bjørn Otto Sverdrup, SVP, Sustainability, Statoil 
Dr Jeremy Leggett, Founder, Solarcentury 
Glada Lahn, Senior Research Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House 
Kamel Ben Naceur, Director, Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks, International Energy Association

Questions and discussion

13:20 – 14:20 Lunch

Session Three | Finance and Investment: Shifting $1 Trillion
14:20 - 15:40

Achieving climate goals implies shifting $1 trillion a year to clean energy investment. This session will explore the challenges and opportunities in doing so.

  • What is needed to translate INDCs into investment propositions?
  • What regulatory, policy and business reforms can be used to redirect capital to low-carbon investments?
  • How can public finance be best leveraged, how much is needed, and how should it be allocated?
  • How should investors and businesses adapt their strategies, planning and reporting processes to ensure near-term investment decisions are consistent with long-term objectives?

Chair
Kirsty Hamilton, Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Keynote speaker
Sir Roger Gifford, Chair, Green Finance Initiative, and Lord Mayor of the City of London (2012-13) 

Questions and discussion

Moderated discussion

Moderator
Kirsty Hamilton, Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Panellists
 Abyd Karmali, Managing Director, Climate Finance, Bank of America Merrill Lynch 
 Ian Simm, Founder and Chief Executive, Impax Asset Management Group 
 John Roome, Senior Director for Climate Change, World Bank Group 

Questions and discussion

15:40 – 16:10 Afternoon refreshments

Session Four | Carbon Sinks
16:10 - 17:30

Language in the Paris Agreement has renewed the emphasis on carbon sinks, raising important questions about land use and new technologies. This session will explore the opportunities and risks presented by different carbon sequestration strategies.

  • What roles can natural sinks and negative emissions technologies play in limiting warming to ‘well below’ 2 degrees or 1.5 degrees?
  • What is needed to transform land-use sectors from sources of emissions to sinks?
  • What are the implications for land governance, development and finance in developing countries? Where are the trade-offs likely to occur?
  • How feasible is the widespread deployment of negative emissions technologies such as bioenergy with carbon, capture and storage (BECCS), and what are the risks?

Chair
Richard Black, Director, Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit 

Ministerial address
Dr Shiferaw Teklemariam, Minister of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, Ethiopia

Questions and discussion

Moderated discussion

Panellists
Professor Pete Smith, Chair in Plant & Soil Science, University of Aberdeen
Henrik Karlsson, CEO, Biorecro 
Jane Wilkinson, Director, Climate Policy Initiative 
Bill Hare, Founder and CEO, Climate Analytics 

Questions and discussion

1730 Close of day one and reception hosted by Chatham House


Tuesday 11 October
0930

Session Five | Managing Climate Risk
09:30 - 10:40 

Climate change threatens societies and economies and will place capital at risk. Responses – for example in the form of mitigation policies – can also put capital at risk, as current developments in the European power sector attest. This session will explore the roles of governments, regulators, investors and businesses in managing these risks.

  • How is climate change affecting financial risk? Are investors properly accounting for this and asking the right questions of businesses?
  • How are banks, insurers and regulators conceptualizing climate risk and managing it?
  • What are the greatest risks – to societies, economies and capital markets? How will these evolve?

Chair
Kate Hampton, Chief Executive Officer, Children’s Investment Fund Foundation

Speakers
Professor Tim Benton, Professor of Population Ecology; UK Champion for Global Food Security, University of Leeds
Ian Allison, Global Head Climate Resilience, Mott MacDonald
Guido Schmidt-Traub, Director, UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network
Fiona Wild, VP, Climate Change and Sustainability, BHP Billiton

Questions and discussion 

10:40 – 11:10 Refreshments

Chair
Simon Maxwell, Executive Chairman, CDKN 

Keynote speaker
Jennifer Morgan, Executive Director, Greenpeace International 

Questions and discussion

Session Six | Prospects within the Major Emitters
11:35 - 13:00

The United States will elect a new president in November. China has announced its 13th Five Year Plan but is struggling to manage its economic transition. In the EU, the energy agenda has been eclipsed by the ongoing migration crisis and chronic economic woes. Coal remains central to India’s energy planning, although ambition for solar is high. Against this background, this session will focus on critical questions including:

  • What are the prospects for climate policy-making in the US, EU, India and China in the coming years? Where are the risks and uncertainties?
  • Is it feasible for the major emitters to increase their emissions reductions targets in the next four years? What are the main obstacles to them doing so?
  • What are the opportunities for enhanced cooperation between the major emitters in advance of 2020?
  • What effect might the result of the UK referendum and subsequent government departmental reorganisation have on the ambitions of the UK and EU?

Chair
Simon Maxwell, Executive Chairman, CDKN 

Questions and discussion

Moderated discussion

Panellists
Nick Mabey, CEO, E3G 
Jun Arima, Professor, Graduate School of Public Policies, University of Tokyo 
Nat Keohane, Vice President, Global Climate, Environmental Defence Fund
Jennifer Layke, Director, Global Energy Program, World Resources Institute
Shirley Rodrigues, Deputy Mayor for Environment, London

Questions and discussion

1300 End of conference and lunch

© The Royal Institute of International Affairs 2016

Keynote speakers 

 

Speakers

Ian Allison to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Ian Allison

Global Head Climate Resilience, Mott MacDonald

Jun Arima

Professor, Graduate School of Public Policies, University of Tokyo

Rob Bailey to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2015 conference

Rob Bailey

Research Director, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Tim Benton to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Professor Tim Benton

Professor of Population Ecology; UK Champion for Global Food Security, University of Leeds

Richard Black to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Richard Black

Director, Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit

Jos Delbeke to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2015 conference

Jos Delbeke

Director General for Climate Action, European Commission

Kirsty Hamilton to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Kirsty Hamilton

Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Kate Hampton to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Kate Hampton

Chief Executive Officer, Children’s Investment Fund Foundation

Bill Hare to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Bill Hare

Founder and CEO, Climate Analytics

Henrik Karlsson to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Henrik Karlsson

CEO, Biorecro

Abyd Karmali

Managing Director, Climate Finance, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Nat Keohane to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Nat Keohane

Vice President, Global Climate, Environmental Defence Fund

Sir David King to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2015 conference

Sir David King

Special Representative for Climate Change, UK

Glada Lahn

Senior Research Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House

Jennifer Layke to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Jennifer Layke

Director, Global Energy Program, World Resources Institute

Bernice Lee

Bernice Lee

Executive Director, Hoffmann Centre for the Sustainable Resource Economy, Chatham House

Dr Jeremy Leggett to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Dr Jeremy Leggett

Founder, Solarcentury

Nick Mabey

Nick Mabey

Chief Executive, E3G

Professor Yacob Mulugetta to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Professor Yacob Mulugetta

Professor of Energy and Development Policy, Department of Science, Technology & Public Policy (STEaPP), University College London

Dr Kamel Ben Naceur to speak at Chatham House MENA Energy 2016 conference

Kamel Ben Naceur

Director, Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks, International Energy Agency

Hussein Alfa Nafo to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Hussein Alfa Nafo

Chair of the Africa Group, UN Climate Change Negotiations

Janos Pasztor to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Janos Pasztor

Senior Adviser to the Secretary-General on Climate Change, United Nations

Shirley Rodrigues to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Shirley Rodrigues

Deputy Mayor for Environment, London

John Roome to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

John Roome

Senior Director for Climate Change, World Bank Group

Guido Schmidt Traub to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2015 conference

Guido Schmidt-Traub

Executive Director, UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network

Ian Simm to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Ian Simm

Founder and Chief Executive of Impax Asset Management Group

Professor Pete Smith to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Professor Pete Smith

Chair in Plant and Soil Science, University of Aberdeen

Bjørn Otto Sverdrup to speak at the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Bjørn Otto Sverdrup

SVP, Sustainability, Statoil

Nigel Topping to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Nigel Topping

CEO, We Mean Business

Fiona Wild to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Fiona Wild

VP, Climate Change and Sustainability, BHP Billiton

Jane Wilkinson to speak at Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Jane Wilkinson

Director, Climate Policy Initiative

Sponsors
 

CDKN to sponsor the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

Mott MacDonald to sponsor the Chatham House Climate Change 2016 conference

 

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor for this event, please contact
Amy Wevill on +44 (0) 20 7957 5732

 

Media partners
 

Argus to partner with Chatham House on the MENA Energy 2016 conference

CDP to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

Climate Standards Disclosure Board to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

Climate Home to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change conference

Corporate Citizenship Briefing to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

IIGCC to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

Natural Gas World to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

Nature to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

SciDev

The Environmentalist to partner with Chatham House on the Climate Change 2016 conference

If you are interested in becoming a media partner for this event, please contact
Amy Smith on +44 (0)20 7957 5755

Venue

Institution of Civil Engineers
1 Great George Street
Westminster
London
SW1P 3AA

Map

conferences@chathamhouse.org

Due to refurbishment works at Chatham House in the summer, please note that this conference will not be held at Chatham House and will take place at the above venue. 

Accommodation
Although we cannot book accommodation for delegates, we have arranged a reduced rate at some nearby hotels, where you can book your own accommodation. Please inform the hotel that you will be attending a Chatham House conference to qualify for the Institute's reduced rate.

Please note all rates are subject to availability.

Flemings Mayfair
Half Moon Street
Mayfair
London - W1J 7BH

Tel: + 44 (0)20 7499 2964
Fax: + 44 (0)20 7499 1817

Standard Single from £195 + VAT

The Cavendish London
81 Jermyn Street
London - SW1Y 6JF

Tel: + 44 (0)20 7930 2111
Fax: + 44 (0)20 7839 2125

Standard Single £205 + VAT

Book The Cavendish online

The Stafford London 
St James's Place
London - SW1A 1NJ

Tel: 020 7518 1125
Fax: 020 7493 7121

Standard Single £235 +VAT

The Savoy London
Strand
London - WC2R 0EU

Tel: 020 7836 4343
Fax: 020 7240 6040 

Standard Single from £250 +VAT

This conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule. Information for journalists.

Press can request a press pass.