The natural world is facing simultaneous and grave threats from climate change, biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation. Nature-based solutions constitute a key approach to addressing this triple crisis, but do not currently attract sufficient investment to effectively combat biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation on a global scale. Accessing increased flows of private sector finance will require changing investor perceptions that nature-based solutions carry a high investment risk. The forest sector can play a role in bridging the gap between private finance and nature-based solutions as an investible industry. This process can help the private finance sector deliver on net zero commitments and improve companies’ own environmental and social credentials.
Demand for bio-based products will have consequences in terms of land footprint – how much land is assigned to growing the tree species needed to supply these markets. Available land being a finite resource, the land footprint of the bioeconomy will come under increasing pressure from urban expansion, as well as from growing demand for food production. These pressures reaffirm the need for nature-based solutions in landscapes that deliver multiple environmental and social benefits.
The above context makes it essential to build understanding and decision-making capability among key stakeholders, such as policymakers, investors, businesses and forest communities, on the future trajectories of the bioeconomy – and of how its land footprint will contribute to environmental and social outcomes. This process can help inform the business governance and development opportunities that should shape the type of forest sector activities that can be constructed around nature-based solutions.
First, a broad understanding of the potential of the bioeconomy should be fostered by the implementation of land-use modelling exercises to determine the land footprint required and how it should be allocated to different activities, based on projections of future demand and innovation within the bioeconomy. Environmental and social outcomes should be evaluated across these scenarios to create a clear picture of the local and global landscape functions that can be delivered over time by the bioeconomy. Second, the modelling exercises should inform a wider debate on which policies, investment patterns and innovation can be implemented – and where – in order to shift the bioeconomy on to specific development pathways that provide the best incentives for forest sector businesses to incorporate nature-based solutions into their business models.