The geopolitics of Russia and the wider Black Sea region

Examining Russia’s changing relationships with Belarus, Moldova, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Armenia and other countries in the Black Sea region.

Image — Police guard an exit of the Minsk metro following Belarus’s presidential election, 11 August 2020. Copyright © Celestino Arce/NurPhoto/Getty Images

Nowhere is the effect of the Russo-Ukrainian war stronger than in the region sometimes referred to as ‘Eurasia’ or the ‘post-Soviet states’. The war has impacted Russia’s influence and revised international trade routes. The shifting power balances must be understood, as Russia’s relationships in its immediate neighbourhood are changing.

Focus

  • The impact of the war on Russia’s relationship with the independent states that were controlled by Moscow over 30 years ago.
  • Russia-Turkey relations and Black Sea security.
  • Impact on the regional economies, including the influx of Russian money into other countries on the region.
  • How is Moscow using the countries of the region to re-organize its trade routes and bypass sanctions?
  • How Russia leverages and influences Russian and Russian-speaking diasporas in the neighborhood?  
  • Looking at interactions and synergies between Ukraine and Moldova.