It is hard to overestimate what is at stake for Iraq, America and indeed the whole international community. As he plans the most important and far-reaching decision of his presidency, George Bush must carefully weigh the costs and benefits of such a hazardous military action. At the centre of his calculations is the potential opposition his army will face once it crosses into Iraqi territory. There is no shortage of advice. However, the problem is that those commenting on the subject all seem to share common assumptions and conclusions.
Iraq's Defence Forces: In the Service of Saddam
A US led invasion of Iraq looks almost certain. President George Bush and his advisors have committed themselves to regime change in Baghdad too often and too publicly to risk the political humiliation of last minute diplomatic compromise. By early next year American and British troops, with or without a UN mandate, will be advancing on Iraq’s capital from their bases in Kuwait and Turkey. But the forces ranged against them should not be underestimated. This is unlikely to be quick, easy or without pain.
