The UK government released a press statement shortly before the NATO Summit in The Hague this week, announcing the purchase of F35A fighter jets. The aircraft are intended to join NATO’s Dual Capable Aircraft (DCA) nuclear mission.
This move appears to have been intended both to enhance the UK contribution to NATO’s nuclear mission while also binding it even closer to the US.
The UK’s Strategic Defence Review (SDR), released weeks before, had recommended that the armed forces purchase F35As – to serve alongside the F35B (a short take off and vertical landing variant of the aircraft) currently flying with the Royal Air Force and Royal Navy. However, the SDR did not spell out how to arm the F35As. And the UK does not possess any nuclear weapons that could be deployed via the aircraft.
The F35As are certified to carry US B61-12 nuclear gravity bombs – low to intermediate yield nuclear weapons. And other states in NATO participate in the DCA mission do so by hosting these US nuclear weapons. With this purchase, it looks as if the UK is planning to do the same. But at what cost?
RAF nuclear storage sites
The F35As will be stationed at RAF Marham. That was the airbase where the UK’s own air launched nuclear weapons were based when it still had its own capability, decommissioned in 1998.
If the UK government wanted to host nuclear weapons there again, it would likely have to refurbish the storage site to be recertified for the purpose (if it has not already secretly been refurbished).
RAF Lakenheath, about 20 miles away, has already been undergoing a refurbishment process to become recertified as a nuclear storage site. This became known due to US Department of Defence budget documents that listed the UK as a US nuclear weapons storage site for the first time in 2022.
The UK government has never officially commented on whether it was preparing to host US nuclear weapons again – US nuclear weapons had not been stored at Lakenheath since 2008 – but the refurbishment makes it seem highly likely that it is planning on hosting them there again.
Reasons for purchasing the F35A
The motivation for the move is clear: Russia has made a series of threats to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. And, as tensions have risen, voices in the UK have argued for the restoration of a lower-yield nuclear weapon, to match Russian capabilities. This argument suggests that UK nuclear deterrence would be stronger if it could match Russian capabilities across an escalation ladder.
The thinking is that if the UK only has its Trident system available, Russia may risk using a low-yield nuclear weapon against the UK, in the belief that the UK would consider a response with Trident’s high yield strategic weapon an escalation too far.
But there is a compelling counter to this line of thinking: nuclear weapons tend to be seen as political rather than ‘useable’ weapons.
Even the use of a low-yield nuclear weapon would represent a massive escalation that would bring unimaginable death and destruction, risking the spread of radiation far beyond its target area. In other words, any escalation to the nuclear level would carry massive consequences for the side that uses such a device.
Regardless of the theory behind the purchase, it would be very costly and time-consuming for the UK to redevelop its own air launch capability.
Participating in NATO’s nuclear sharing arrangement is therefore seen by some as a halfway house: the UK does not have to develop its own tactical nuclear capability, but it will still get to participate in a lower-yield nuclear option.
And it can demonstrate leadership within NATO by adding even more to its extended nuclear deterrence posture.