The National Intelligence Estimate,
Iran and the US: With High Confidence
The prospect of a pre-emptive American strike on Iran in the coming months has receded with the release of the latest United States National Intelligence Estimate. Yet the potential for Washington and Tehran to achieve a so-called ‘grand bargain’ on all the sources of contention between them is also remote. There are too many factors and players working against such a deal and both sides still aspire to a victory they deﬁne as the capitulation of the other.